Red Wings head home to face Jackets
Hockey Betting Lines
03/22/2007 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Detroit Red Wings hope a return home will enable them to break out of a recent funk, as the Central Division contenders begin a stretch of three consecutive games at Joe Louis Arena tonight with a matchup against the Columbus Blue Jackets.
The Red Wings just completed an unsuccessful journey through Alberta, in which the club was handed road defeats by both Vancouver and Calgary. In its most recent test, Detroit was edged by the Flames by a 2-1 count on Tuesday.
Calgary prevailed despite being outshot by a 31-23 margin on the night, as Pavel Datsyuk's wrister early in the second period was the only Detroit attempt to get past All-Star goaltender Miikka Kiprusoff.
The goal extended Datsyuk's scoring streak to 11 straight games. The standout center, who tops Detroit with 78 points this season, has racked up four goals and 13 assists during the tear.
Datsyuk also had the Red Wings' lone goal in Saturday's 4-1 setback at Vancouver, but Detroit could get a boost to its sputtering offense tonight with the expected debut of forward Todd Bertuzzi.
Bertuzzi was acquired from the Florida Panthers on February 27 but has not played since October because of a back injury. The rugged winger had 25 goals and 46 assists with Vancouver last season and was a 46-goal scorer as a Canuck in 2002-03.
The Red Wings, who enter the contest trailing rival Nashville by just one point for first place in both the Central Division and Western Conference standings, have been dominant on home ice this season. Detroit is 26-4-5 at Joe Louis Arena for the campaign and is 4-1-1 in its last six tilts as the host.
In addition, Columbus is just 3-13-0 lifetime in the Motor City and has dropped three straight and five of its last six as the visitor in this series.
The Blue Jackets do come in on a good note, though, as the team stopped a two- game losing streak by besting Chicago by a 5-2 count Tuesday at Nationwide Arena. Fredrik Modin had a pair of goals to lead Columbus, while Gilbert Brule amassed a goal and two assists in the win.
Fredrik Norrena stopped 22 shots for the Jackets, who will try to improve on a 13-21-3 road mark.
Detroit has won 10 of the last 13 overall meetings between these divisional foes and is 3-2-0 against Columbus so far in 2006-07.
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Sportsbook Betting Lines
Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?
Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?
There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
How the Opening Line Is Made
The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Why Sports Betting Lines Change
Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
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